Online spending, which has got a boost during the pandemic, is expected to grow at an annual rate of over 35 per cent to $200 billion in the next five years, and a lot of this growth will come from direct-to-consumer brands, according to a report.
The domestic direct-to-consumer (D2C) market is estimated to be $100 billon by 2025, or 11 per cent of the total retail market that is slated to touch $1.7 trillion by then, investment bank Avendus Capital said in the report.
Overall retail market stood at $977 billion in 2019, it said.
The domestic retail market, which is the fifth largest globally, is projected to surpass $1.7 trillion by 2025, driven by e-tailing. Of the total retail market, only 17 per cent was in the modern trade in 2019, which is slated to touch 31 per cent by 2025.
The rise in online shopping is fuelled by the 639-million strong internet population, which is growing at 24 per cent. The country has added 80 million shoppers in the past three years to reach 130 million now, according to the report.
The domestic e-tail market, which stood at a low $39 billion in 2019 or four per cent of the total market, is slated to be a $200-billion opportunity, enjoying a share of 11 per cent of the total market, it said.
The report also said the online ecosystem and evolving consumer needs have made new business models viable and have led to the emergence of D2C distribution channels.
“We expect high levels of funding activity in this space, as more successful D2C outcomes will validate the hypothesis for newer capital deployment,” said the report, adding that the addressable market for this segment is $100 billion by 2025.
It added that robust consolidation is anticipated in the next three-four years, either as roll-ups or incumbents buying new-age D2C companies.
Globally, D2C brands have shown mixed results, and the leading names in this category are companies like Warby Parker, Allbirds, Away, Fenty Beauty and Perfect Diary.
The key drivers for D2C brands in the country are beauty and personal care, food and beverages, and fashion.
D2C brands refer to businesses that have majority of their revenue or customer acquisition from D2C online channels or started with an online-first distribution before going omnichannel.
Source: PTI, Avendus Capital’s report ‘D2C brands – Disrupting the next decade of shopping